Using DNA to find Goths

Arthur Jones arthurobin2002 at YAHOO.COM
Wed Aug 23 21:54:16 UTC 2006


Hails alla,
  

authurn2002 <harry at cpt.co.uk> wrote:
          --- In gothic-l at yahoogroups.com, "akoddsson" <konrad_oddsson at ...> wrote:

> Physical remain would indeed be a good place to start, at least if 
> they can be ascertained to be Gothic as opposed to mixed-population 
> remains. > Regards,
> Konrad

---In gothic-l at yahoogroups.com, "Authurn" <harry at ...>
  wrote:

>.

>Firstly, DNA from old bones is so problematic it is not worth the
>effort when there would always be uncertainty that they were the old
>bones of an ancient Goth anyway. One has to look at the modern day
>population.

  Well expressed, Authurn. I'm not so sure I completely agree with that conclusion, although I certainly accept your premise that there will be uncertainties in the identity. However, the comparative evidence is or should be the highest and best corroborative, supporting evidence available by application of state of the art technology at the time of evidence-gathering. This would mean taking DNA from old bones from Gotlandic graves, by all means. But a comparison with DNA from some of the earliest graves of the Wielbark culture, age established by best carbon and other dating techniques now extant, would not be irrelevant at all. The aim is to provide a point of comparison. First obtain the evidence, then argue for or against its acceptance. It would clearly establish inferences if the "old bone" DNA from Wielbark were found to closely parallel
  a. modern Gotlandic residents;
  b. Ancient Gotlandic residents;
  c. both.
  
>As you say, the only place this can be done is Gotland.

No, I firmly believe that our only chance of obtaining supportive evidence is to begin in Gotland --which I understand is soon being done-- and then proceeding to sites where Goths were known to have lived for extended periods of time, including parts of the Balkan peninsula.

> By the time the Goths got to the Black Sea it would already be highly
>admixed. Clusters of 'Goths' are unlikely to exist anymore and
>instances are likely to be so sporadic, one would never find them. So
>it would be a lot of work based on a very big 'if'.

  I disagree completely on this point. The evidence points to the Gothic migration from the Vistula to the Black Sea as being rather swift. The Wielbark culture graveyards were abandoned suddenly and coterminously, meaning that nobody stayed behind when they gave the signal to march.
  Similarly, the Chernjakov culture graveyards began with the next generation and kept growing. There would have been far too little time for the Goths to have intermarried with Thracians, Dacians, Sarmatians, Scythians, Alans, and others in that extremely short period of time. Had the migration consisted solely of soldiers, well, then that might have been a different story. But the evidence is consistent that they all left, entire families on the road.
  If they or a sizeable percentage of their population still carried DNA brought from Gotland at the time of the initial Black Sea migration, which is clearly arguable, then they would have still carried those markers upon arrival in Moesia, Moldova, Ukraine, and the lower Danube.
  
.> But, if migrations worked like that we'd
>have much more Gothic archaeology showing different patterns of
>development over much longer periods of time in each area.

And more Gothic archaeology will continue showing up as time passes. There is far less governmental and cultural resistance to historical digging than there was under the Soviet-related regimes, which had politicized nearly all socio-cultural branches of scientific research almost beyond recognition. New discoveries will appear. But those were not peaceful times, and cultures had to adapt quickly and alliances shifted rapidly for survival. 

  Or do you mean, perhaps, that Gothic archaeology cannot be used in Wielbark to support DNA evidence, but that it can and should be applied in Southeastern Europe to eliminate or discredit Gothic genetic evidence?
  It seems to me preferable to gain whatever information can be adduced, whether through linguistics, historical records, archaeology or DNA. Then, to present all such evidence with appropriate caveats. 
  Authurn's arguments are all reasonable, and may even be correct. But we now have a chance to encourage gathering all the evidence and to see where it leads us. And I still believe that we would come closest of all by taking samples from descendants of the Visigothic kingdom of Spain, as they very likely kept their bloodlines as nearly protected as the geneologies tell us.
  Best regards,
  Arthur A. Jones
  arthurobin2002 at yahoo.com
   
  

 

         


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