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This four-year-old article, by Daniel M. Abrams and Steven H. Strogatz, "Modelling the dynamics of language death," <i>Nature</i> 424, Aug. 21, 2003, p. 900, is written by two members of Cornell's Dept. of Theoretical and Applied Mechanics, and makes some "interesting" assumptions:<div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>1. they posit a highly connected population, with no spatial or social structure, in which all speakers are monolingual</div><div>2. that the attractiveness of a language increases with both its numbers and its perceived status</div><div>3. that no one will adopt a language that has no speakers (do they actually have to say this because they're engineers?)</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>And they conclude:</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>"The model therefore predicts that two languages cannot coexist stably -- one will eventually drive the other to extinction." (They also do admit that bilingualism can exist.)</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>To reverse declining language use, they recommend "policy-making, education and advertising, in esssence increasing an endangered language's status."</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>I am certainly relieved that reversing language death is so simple that it can be reduced to calculus and a graph, but am concerned that the model predicts an eventual return to a pre-Babel linguistic state (is this how creationism works in linguistics? perhaps we should just make English the official world language and be done with it).</div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>Anyway, more to come later, as you might expect . . . </div><div><br class="webkit-block-placeholder"></div><div>Dennis</div><div><br></div><br><div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; border-spacing: 0px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Arial; font-size: 14px; 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font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; text-align: auto; -khtml-text-decorations-in-effect: none; text-indent: 0px; -apple-text-size-adjust: auto; text-transform: none; orphans: 2; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; border-spacing: 0px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Arial; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; text-align: auto; -khtml-text-decorations-in-effect: none; text-indent: 0px; -apple-text-size-adjust: auto; text-transform: none; orphans: 2; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; border-spacing: 0px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Arial; font-size: 14px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; text-align: auto; -khtml-text-decorations-in-effect: none; text-indent: 0px; -apple-text-size-adjust: auto; text-transform: none; orphans: 2; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; border-spacing: 0px 0px; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: Arial; font-size: 12px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; text-align: auto; -khtml-text-decorations-in-effect: none; text-indent: 0px; -apple-text-size-adjust: auto; text-transform: none; orphans: 2; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; "><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font face="Helvetica" size="3" style="font: 12.0px Helvetica; font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; ">Dennis Baron</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font face="Helvetica" size="3" style="font: 12.0px Helvetica; font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; ">Professor of English and Linguistics</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font face="Helvetica" size="3" style="font: 12.0px Helvetica; font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; 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"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "> </span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span class="Apple-converted-tab"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; 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Wright St.</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font face="Helvetica" size="3" style="font: 12.0px Helvetica; font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; ">Urbana, IL 61801</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span></span><span class="Apple-converted-space"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; ; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; 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"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "></span></span></span></span></span></span></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font class="Apple-style-span" face="Helvetica"><br class="khtml-block-placeholder"></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; font-size: 12px; "><font class="Apple-style-span" face="Helvetica"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; "><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Helvetica; font-size: 12px; ">office: 217-244-0568</span></span></span></span></span></span></span></font><font class="Apple-style-span" face="Helvetica"></font></p><p style="margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; 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