More broadcast journalism

[Dave Wilton]

Plus it's comparing a state with a city. Arizona has a population of 6.5
million, NYC 8.3 million. It wouldn't be terribly surprising if total crime
in Arizona was similar to that of NYC. One might expect it to be about 25%
lower, given the somewhat smaller population, but other factors might drive
it up.

Not to mention that NYC's violent crime rate is relatively low. The bad old
days of the 70s and 80s are long gone. This Wikipedia page, which gives 2008
FBI statistics ranks NYC 55th in violent crime and 75th in property crime.
Even Anchorage, Alaska is higher.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_cities_by_crime_rate

But the FBI says this about its crime statistics:

"Each year when 'Crime in the United States' is published, some entities use
reported figures to compile rankings of cities and counties. These rough
rankings provide no insight into the numerous variables that mold crime in a
particular town, city, county, state, or region. Consequently, they lead to
simplistic and/or incomplete analyses that often create misleading
perceptions adversely affecting communities and their residents. Valid
assessments are possible only with careful study and analysis of the range
of unique conditions affecting each local law enforcement jurisdiction. *The
data user is, therefore, cautioned against comparing statistical data of
individual reporting units from cities, metropolitan areas, states, or
colleges or universities solely on the basis of their population coverage or
student enrollment.*"


-----Original Message-----
From: American Dialect Society [mailto:ADS-L at LISTSERV.UGA.EDU] On Behalf Of
Bill Palmer
Sent: Saturday, May 01, 2010 6:15 AM
To: ADS-L at LISTSERV.UGA.EDU
Subject: More broadcast journalism

Twice in the past few days (Lou Dobbs this morning + one other time a few
days ago by someone else, but I don't remember who) conservative
commentators have asserted that Arizona now has a crime rate equal to that
of NYC.  That seems unremarkable.  I'm sure there are many places with crime
rates that equal or exceed NYC's...Detroit, Richmond, St, Louis, Atlanta,
maybe.

It would only be noteworty if there was an equal amount of total crime,
nest-ce pas?

Bill Palmer

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The American Dialect Society - http://www.americandialect.org