Washington DC suburbs: In the Under-5 Set, Minority Becoming the Majority

[Harold Schiffman]

      *Wednesday, August 13, 2008*

*In the Under-5 Set, Minority Becoming the
Majority<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/08/06/AR2008080603683.html?hpid=topnews>
*


By N.C. Aizenman | Washington Post
Thursday, August 7, 2008; B01

A surge in Hispanic immigration over the past decade has dramatically
altered the racial and ethnic composition of the region's youngest
residents, according to U.S. Census Bureau figures released today.  As with
minorities in general, immigrants tend to be younger than non-Hispanic
whites and still in their childbearing years. As a result, in five suburban
Washington counties, more than half of children age 4 and younger were
minorities when the annual Census Bureau survey was taken a year ago.

In three of the counties -- Prince William, Montgomery and Charles -- the
share reached about 60 percent. And in Prince George's, where Hispanic
immigration has supplemented an even larger African American population,
more than 90 percent of these children are minorities.

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/_q4_hUad9tdc/SKNl_Kgw1XI/AAAAAAAAAJw/wYi-c9Yg-aM/s1600-h/GR2008080700411.gif>
In five of Washington's suburban counties, the majority of children younger
than 5 as of last summer were members of minority groups. The number grew
over the past decade, largely because of Hispanic immigration.

SOURCE: U.S. Census Bureau | By Dita Smith - The Washington Post - August 7,
2008

The implications for governments and communities are wide-ranging,
demographers said. As the current crop of youngsters reaches kindergarten
age, school systems that would otherwise be losing students will continue to
grow or remain stable. They will also need to accommodate an ever-larger
number of students who were raised in immigrant households where English was
not spoken.

In addition, although most Hispanic children younger than 5 are native-born
U.S. citizens and therefore eligible for government health care and other
benefits, research indicates that if their parents are not U.S. citizens,
they will be less likely to claim assistance, said Michael Fix, director of
studies at the Washington-based Migration Policy Institute.

"All of this really reinforces the importance for counties to increase their
investment in early childhood development now," Fix said ."If you don't make
that investment, one of the penalties you pay down the line is that you have
kids in school who don't speak English well and whose overall performance
lags behind."

Fix pointed to studies indicating that as many as 75 percent of elementary
school children learning English as a second language were born in the
United States.

"Even more worrisome is that over half of the English-as-a-second-language
learners in high school were native born," Fix added.

As these minority children mature, counties that until fairly recently were
dominated by non-Hispanic whites are likely to shift to majority-minority
status, said William Frey, a demographer with the Brookings Institution.

"The bubbling up [of minorities] that we're now seeing at the younger ages
will continue to move up through the age range, through the teenage years,
the working-age years and then the housing-buying years," he said. "The
child population is really a microcosm of the future."

Minorities had already grown to 47 percent of the population in Charles and
48 percent in Prince William in July 2007, up from about one-third in 2000.
Montgomery, at 46 percent minority, is also getting close.

Demographers cautioned, however, that the extreme ethnic and socioeconomic
diversity of area minorities makes it difficult to make broad predictions
about the impact of the region's impending shift to majority-minority
status.

In Prince George's, for instance, 62 percent of children younger than 5 are
non-Hispanic blacks, and they include a substantial share born to affluent
families.

Similarly, in Fairfax County, Asian children account for 17 percent of those
younger than 5. Often born to upwardly mobile immigrant professionals who
encourage them to supplement regular schoolwork with additional classes,
Asian students are disproportionately represented among the county's
top-performing students. And last month it was announced that for the first
time Asian Americans will outnumber whites at the county's most prestigious
public magnet school, Thomas Jefferson High School for Science and
Technology.

Nor can Hispanic immigrants, who hail from a wide range of nations, be
easily categorized.

"You cannot necessarily predict that just because they'll become
majority-minority, all these schools will become low-income," Fix said. "The
Washington area has one of the most diverse foreign populations in the
nation."

Adding to the complexity of the picture is that the Census Bureau collected
its data through July 2007, before the current economic downturn and before
Prince William and other counties adopted initiatives against illegal
immigration.

In Prince William, the percentage of students enrolled in classes for
English as a second language dropped nearly 5 percent from a record of
13,404 in September to 12,775 by the end of the school year. The impact of
the downturn and immigration restrictions will be reflected in Census Bureau
data to be released next year.



http://texasedequity.blogspot.com/2008/08/in-under-5-set-minority-becoming.html

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