"cone of uncertainty" (was Re: "credibility interval")

Laurence Horn laurence.horn at YALE.EDU
Sat Oct 27 02:14:50 UTC 2012


Not to be confused with the credibility interval is the cone of uncertainty--not an option for the icecreamentally indecisive, but the official label for a big chunk of the map forecasters are using to predict where Sandy will end up making landfall.  I do like the idea--sort of like that cloud of unknowing on the much earlier weather maps.

LH

On Oct 26, 2012, at 10:08 PM, Jonathan Lighter wrote:

> Inglish for "statistical margin of error":
>
> "The sample size of early voters is 960 people with a credibility interval
> of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points."
> http://news.yahoo.com/40-percent-may-vote-early-u-election-obama-005022787.html
>
> JL
> --
> "If the truth is half as bad as I think it is, you can't handle the truth."
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------
> The American Dialect Society - http://www.americandialect.org

------------------------------------------------------------
The American Dialect Society - http://www.americandialect.org



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