Black Swan (UNCLASSIFIED)

Mullins, Bill AMRDEC Bill.Mullins at US.ARMY.MIL
Fri Oct 10 22:28:03 UTC 2008


Classification:  UNCLASSIFIED
Caveats: NONE



I'm starting to read/hear about the economic collapse of the last couple
of weeks being a Black Swan WRT John McCain's campaign.

>From Wikipedia:

"The black swan theory refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and
rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations.  The theory was
described by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2007 book The Black Swan. "

Note that a Black Swan event doesn't have to be bad, just an outlier and
unexpected.

If this gets traction, possibly a WOTY???

Classification:  UNCLASSIFIED
Caveats: NONE

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