Black Swan (UNCLASSIFIED)

[Marc Velasco]

>> If this gets traction ...

On Fri, Oct 10, 2008 at 6:28 PM, Mullins, Bill AMRDEC <
Bill.Mullins at us.army.mil> wrote:

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> Poster:       "Mullins, Bill AMRDEC" <Bill.Mullins at US.ARMY.MIL>
> Subject:      Black Swan (UNCLASSIFIED)
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> Classification:  UNCLASSIFIED
> Caveats: NONE
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>
>
> I'm starting to read/hear about the economic collapse of the last couple
> of weeks being a Black Swan WRT John McCain's campaign.
>
> From Wikipedia:
>
> "The black swan theory refers to a large-impact, hard-to-predict, and
> rare event beyond the realm of normal expectations.  The theory was
> described by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his 2007 book The Black Swan. "
>
> Note that a Black Swan event doesn't have to be bad, just an outlier and
> unexpected.
>
> If this gets traction, possibly a WOTY???
>
> Classification:  UNCLASSIFIED
> Caveats: NONE
>
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