"don't think zebras"
victor steinbok
aardvark66 at GMAIL.COM
Fri Feb 19 02:35:25 UTC 2010
More GB, with alternative search strings:
1971
Medical Laboratory Technology, vol 28--date is accurate: Harvard
Medical School has these starting with vol. 28, which is tagged as
1971.
p. 339--reviewing an unknown (from the snippet) paper, the authors states:
> The author's final words are apt — "when you hear hoofbeats think of horses, not zebras" or alternatively common things most commonly occur.
1973
Journal of Medical Education, vol 48, p. 1167 (date/volume match
confirmed, but text not verified) The snippet is a bit cryptic:
> ... the resident must still continue to think of all the possible disease ... is considered first; "if there are hoofbeats, look for horses, not zebras. ...
1979
Problem Solving in Clinical Medicine, p. 27
> And if you hear the galloping of hooves, think of horses, not zebras — unless you are in East Africa.
There are some other minor variations (not all prescriptive), but all
other pre-1980 citations mention doctors, in general, (as do most
post-1980 ones) save one which attributes the saying to an unnamed
"philosopher" (quotation marks in the original).
NOTE: citations not verified; I have not search any news archives
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